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See where the numbers go, and why Navalo thinks so.

Navalo tests several methods on your own past and keeps the best. Every forecast shows its data, formula, error and what would change it.

Start freeRead the forecasts guide
  • 01Tested on your own past
  • 02Every forecast explains itself
  • 03Numbers by code, never by AI
Finances · Forecast
BurnIncomeNetWon deals
Explain this forecast
Holt-Winters, additiveTested on the last 6 months80% range shaded

The method that did best on your own past is the one drawn. The dashed line is the forecast.

What it does

A forecast you can check, not a number you have to trust.

Every figure is computed by code from rows you can open. AI only comments on numbers already shown.

  • Holt-Winters, additive6% off
  • Linear trend11% off
  • Moving average14% off
  • Seasonal naive19% off
01

Tested on your own history

Five methods are tested on held-back history. The smallest error wins, with a band for the likely range.

04

Burn and runway from what you state

Burn comes from Finances. Navalo holds no bank balance, so runway uses the cash you type, kept in your browser.

Data
Monthly spend, 18 months
Method
Linear trend, a straight line through the history
Formula
=TREND(known, months, next)
Tested
11% off on the last 6 months
Would change it
A new hire or a contract ending
02

Every forecast explains itself

Open Explain for the data, the method in plain words, the formula, the tested error and the assumptions.

05

A forecast inside a spreadsheet

Select a column in Grids and insert a forecast as live TREND or GROWTH formulas with a chart.

Paying customersOn pace

84 now, on pace to reach 120 by 30 June

Trial conversionsProjected to miss
03

Outcomes on pace, or not

Each outcome with a target date reads on pace, at risk or behind. A coming miss shows on your home page early.

06

Profit and loss, cash flow and a DCF

A P&L for any period, direct and indirect cash flow, and a DCF with sensitivity. Saved as a live sheet, page or deck.

On which plan

What is included, and where the line is.

Every new workspace starts on a free trial of the full Business tier, no card needed, and lands on Free when it ends. Prices and limits are on the pricing page.

Forecasts with linear trend and moving average

Team and above

Finances, Strategy outcomes and the home page.

Every method, Ava forecasts and financial models

Business and above

Model commentary uses AI credits; the numbers do not.

See pricing
How it connects

Predictions read the numbers the workspace already keeps.

Finances

Spend and income feed the forecast. Money stays behind the same finance permission.

Open

Grids

A forecast in a sheet is ordinary formulas. It travels to Excel and back.

Open

Capacity, budget & goals

Outcome projections sit on the goal page, beside the work that is meant to move them.

Open
Questions

The ones people ask first.

Does the AI make up the forecast?
No. The engine computes every number from your data and shows its working. The AI writes optional commentary, and a paragraph naming a figure that is not in the model is dropped.
Is this Excel's FORECAST.ETS?
No. Linear and exponential forecasts match the TREND and GROWTH functions exactly. Holt-Winters is the textbook method with its fitted parameters shown, and it is labelled as that.

Ask where the numbers are heading.

Open Forecast in Finances. The explanation sits beside the line.

Start freeEvery feature

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